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agriculture have been progressively ravaged
         by  flooding  (Fosu  et  al.,  2018).  Steadily
         increased floods and general level (U.S. Army
         Corps of Engineers, 2019) of the Mississippi
         River (Fig. 1A) have been independent of
         local  climatic  changes  in  precipitation  and
         temperature (National Oceanographic and
         Atmospheric Administration, 2019a), which
         have remained surprisingly flat (Fig. 1B). Nor
         can increases in farmed areas be blamed for
         rising flood levels, because Midwestern culti-
         vated acreage reached a plateau between 1900
         and 1960 (Clausen, 1979; Sohl et al., 2016;
         Andersen et al., 1996; U.S. Department of
         Agriculture Statistics Service, 2019), and has
         declined slightly since then (Fig. 1C).
          Flooding is a long-term and direct
         response to rising atmospheric CO  concen-
                                   2
         trations of much greater consequence in
         mid-latitudes than temperature increases,
         and it has been observed for decades.
         Deciduous trees adapt to rising CO  annu-
                                    2
         ally by developing fewer stomates on spring
         leaves, because adequate CO  for photosyn-
                               2
         thesis can be obtained by reduced air intake
         (Sugano et al., 2010; Chater et al., 2015).
         Fewer stomates also reduce plant transpira-
         tion of water, so that more precipitation
         runs off in rivers and floods (Betts et al.,
         2007). The relationship between CO  and
                                      2
         stomatal density has been known for some
         time (Woodward, 1987), and there have
         been many attempts at quantifying the rela-
         tionship (Royer et al., 2001; Retallack, 2001,
         2009; Barclay and Wing, 2016; McElwain
         and Steinthorsdottir, 2017). Here we update
         quantification of stomatal response to   Figure 2. Stomates from leaves of Ginkgo picked in 1754 from Deshima, Japan. Large
         atmospheric CO  inferred from herbarium   images with ~600 stomates and also non-stomatiferous areas below veins were counted
                     2
         specimens of Ginkgo biloba with an unprec-  to ascertain total leaf conductance. Pressed leaves from Kew Herbarium and scanning
                                                 electron microscopy image courtesy of Chrissie Pritchard.
         edented data set ranging from leaves picked
         in 1754 (Fig. 2) through the definitive
         upturn of CO  in the early twenty-first cen-  sensed by stomatal ion channels, which   MATERIALS AND METHODS
                   2
         tury (Fig. 3A). Such studies have been the   direct gene expression for stomatal density   We used scanning electron microscopy
         basis for determining CO  levels from the   in the developing leaf for that year (Sugano   (SEM) images from herbarium specimens of
                             2
         distribution of stomates on  fossil  leaves   et al., 2010; Chater et al., 2015). In decidu-  Ginkgo biloba (Retallack and Conde, 2020)
         (Retallack, 2001, 2009) and also for show-  ous plants like Ginkgo and oak (Quercus),   to refine a time series of historic stomatal
         ing the link between greenhouse crises and   stomatal index reflects spring time CO  for   parameters (Retallack, 2009), now extended
                                                                           2
         flooding in deep time (Steinthorsdottir et   the year in which that leaf formed. Ginkgo   back to 1754 with specimens in Kew
         al., 2012). A single collection of fossil or   has been a favorite for such studies because   Herbarium  picked  in  Deshima,  Japan,  and
         herbarium leaves determines global CO    of its unusually long fossil record, and so   forward with specimens picked during the
                                          2
         concentration with a resolution of weeks   has the  highest  quality data  (Barclay and   dramatic upswing in CO  over the past
                                                                                                      2
         because the atmosphere is well mixed on    Wing,  2016;  Retallack  and  Conde,  2020).   decade (Fig. 2). Stomatal papillae may
         such time scales, as illustrated by seasonal   Comparable records  have been obtained   obscure subsidiary cell walls in cuticle prep-
         variation (±4 ppm CO ) between rising val-  from oak (Quercus) and many other species   arations (Barclay and Wing, 2016), but are
                          2
         ues with autumn leaf shedding and draw-  of leaves (Lammertsma et al., 2011). The   clear in SEM images (Fig. 2B). Our method
         down by photosynthetic initiation as leaves   relationship between stomatal density and   counted images with ~600 cells and 60 sto-
         unfurl in spring (National Oceanographic   atmospheric CO  varies with different spe-  mates in both stomatiferous and astomatic
                                                         2
         and Atmospheric  Administration, 2019a).   cies, but Quercus and Ginkgo have a similar   areas as a proxy for total leaf conductance.
         Concentrations of atmospheric CO  are   response (Fig. 3B–3C).         Counting smaller areas of cuticle with only
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