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Predicting the Water Balance from

                                  Optimization of Plant Productivity





         A.G. Hunt*, Dept. of Physics, Wright State University, Dayton, Ohio 45435, USA; B. Faybishenko, Energy Geosciences Division,
         Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, University of California, 1 Cyclotron Road, Berkeley, California 94720, USA; and
         B. Ghanbarian, Porous Media Research Lab, Dept. of Geology, Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas 66506, USA

          How soil-water flows and how fast it moves   guiding soil-water flow provides limitations   and evapotranspiration, given by ET = P − Q
         solutes are important for plant growth and soil   on solute transport and chemical weathering.   (which modulates RRE).
         formation. The relationship describing the   Both plant roots and infiltrating water tend   Consider the steady-state soil depth (Yu and
         partitioning of precipitation, P, into run-off,   to follow paths of least resistance, but with   1
         Q, and evapotranspiration,  ET, is called the   differing connectivity properties. Except in   Hunt, 2017),  z ∝  Q D 1−  =  Q 1.15 , with D = 1.87,
                                                                                                b
                                                                                                            b
         water balance.  Q incorporates both surface   arid climates (Yang et al., 2016), roots tend to   governing solute transport, which is the back-
         runoff and subsurface flow components, the   be restricted to the thin topsoil, so lateral   bone fractal dimension of percolation.
                                                                                                            P Q)
         latter chiefly contributing to soil formation.   root distributions are often considered two-  Optimization of  NPP ∝  RRE ∝ Q ( −  df
                                                                                                         1.15
         At shorter time intervals, soil-water storage,   dimensional (2D), and root structures employ   with respect to Q by setting d(NPP)⁄d(Q) = 0
         S, may change, dS/dt, due to atmosphere-soil   hierarchical, directional organization, speed-  yields ET = P d  ⁄(1.15 + d ) = 0.623P, within
                                                                                            f
                                                                                                    f
         water exchange; i.e., infiltrating and evaporat-  ing  transport  by  avoiding  closed  loops.  In   1–2% of the mean of global estimates (Hunt
         ing water and root uptake. Over sufficiently   contrast, infiltrating water (i.e., the subsur-  et al., 2020).
         long time periods, storage changes are typi-  face part of Q) tends to follow random paths   The ratio ET/P may be represented using
         cally neglected (Gentine et al., 2012).   (Hunt, 2017) and percolates through the top-  the aridity index,  AI, often defined as
         Percolation theory from statistical physics   soil more deeply, giving rise to three-dimen-  PET/P (sometimes as its inverse), with PET
         provides a powerful tool for predicting soil   sional (3D) flow-path structures. The result-  being  the  potential  evapotranspiration
         formation and plant growth (Hunt, 2017) by   ing distinct topologies generate differing   (Budyko, 1958). In arid regions, where soil
         means of modeling soil pore space as net-  nonlinear scaling, which is fractal, between           1
         works, rather than continua.        time and distance of solute transport.  depths are yet increasing,  z ∝ Q  D b  =  Q  0.53
          In heterogeneous soils, solute migration   On a bi-logarithmic space-time plot (Hunt,   (Yu and Hunt, 2017). For a bare land area, the
         typically exhibits non-Gaussian behavior,   2017), optimal paths for the different spatio-  fraction of the surface that plants occupy may
         with statistical models having long tails in   temporal scaling laws of root radial extent   be only P/PET, which is the inverse of the AI.
         arrival time distributions and velocities   (RRE) and soil depth, z, are defined by their   Both tend to increase ET as a fraction of P. For
         decreasing over time. Theoretical prediction   radial divergence from the same length and   high AI, roots are also less confined near the
         of solute transport via percolation theory that   time positions. RRE relates to NPP, which is   surface, searching water more deeply, and
         generates accurate full non-Gaussian arrival   a key determinant of crop productivity,   also increasing ET. Under ideal conditions
         time distributions has become possible only   through root fractal dimensionality,  d f ,   of neither energy nor water limitation (AI = 1),
         recently (Hunt and Ghanbarian, 2016; Hunt   given  by  RRE ∝  NPP 1/ df , with predicted   Levang-Brilz and Biondini (2003) determined
         and Sahimi, 2017). A unified framework,   values of d  of 1.9 and 2.5 for 2D and 3D pat-  that for 16 grass and 39 Great Plains forb spe-
                                                     f
         based on solute transport theory, helps pre-  terns, respectively (Hunt and Sahimi, 2017).   cies the mean  d  for all forbs was 2.49, but
                                                                                             f
         dict soil depth as a function of age and infil-  Basic length/time scales  are given by the   grasses separated into two distinct groups
         tration rate (Yu and Hunt, 2017), soil erosion   fundamental network  size (determined   with d = 2.65 and 1.67, in accord with percola-
                                                                                     f
         rates (Yu et al., 2019), chemical weathering   from the soil particle size distribution) and   tion predictions (Hunt and Sahimi, 2017). In
         (Yu  and  Hunt,  2018),  and  plant  height  and   its ratio to mean soil-water flow rate. Yearly   the studied biome, grasses constitute more
         productivity as a function of time and tran-  average pore-scale flow rates are deter-  than 90% of the biomass.
         spiration rates (Hunt, 2017). Expressing soil   mined from climate variables (Yu and Hunt,   Figure 1 shows our predicted upper bound
         depth and plant growth inputs to the crop net   2017). Each scaling relationship has a   (dotted line) of ET/P as a function of AI. At
         primary productivity, NPP, permits optimi-  spread, representing chiefly the  range  of   low  AI (<1) the known limit  ET  ≤  PET is
         zation of NPP with respect to the hydrologic   flow rates as controlled by P and its parti-  applied. For large AI, d = 2.5, appropriate for
                                                                                                  f
         fluxes (Hunt et al., 2020). Some remarkable   tioning into  ET and  Q. This conceptual   deeper, more isotropic, root systems. Levang-
         conclusions also arise from this theory, such   basis makes possible prediction of the depen-  Brilz and Biondini’s (2003) experimental  d  f
         as that globally averaged ET is almost twice   dence of NPP on the hydrologic fluxes, Q   values generate the spread in predicted ET at
         Q, and that the topology of the network   (which modulates the soil and root depths),   selected  AI values (though experimental

         GSA Today, v. 30, https://doi.org/10.1130/GSATG471GW.1. Copyright 2020, The Geological Society of America. CC-BY-NC.

         *Email: allen.hunt@wright.edu

         28  GSA Today  |  November 2020
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